In all that has happened nobody seems to have gone back and looked at RSA’s national budget. Instead everyone is bending over backwards to accommodate about 1 million students out of a population of 54 million South Africans.
So lets run some numbers to demonstrate a point.
Budgeted government expenditure for 2015/16 is R1,378 trillion. Divide that by 54 million South Africans and you get that Government spends about R25000 per citizen per annum, all in.
The higher education budget is already R63 billion pa, spread across 1 million students that’s R63 000 per student per annum.
If we get free higher education for all South Africans the higher education budget would have to increase by R50 billion, making up a total spend of around R110 billion. Or R110 000 per student pa.
Now go try and explain that state pensioner receiving about R16 000 pa, or to a child on a grant of around R4 000 pa. Or someone waiting for an operation at a state hospital.
And there are other projects that desperately need funding. What about the ideal of national health insurance ‘NHI’?
National treasury papers from November 2014 show the expenditure trajectory of RSA is already unsustainable if our new policies are introduced, That was before #feesmustfall.
In national treasury’s own words
Fiscal sustainability requires that one (or a combination) of the following factors should accommodate structural increases in spending:
Acceleration of economic growth ( Just not happening)
Increases in the structural level of taxation (already in progress)
Shifting resources from other priorities (#feesmustfall has just created a new priority)’
The money is just not there to give free higher education to all. Nor should it be because it will let those who can afford to pay all or some of the cost off the hook. That’s as good as a tax reduction for the rich.
On the other hand the money could be found to install a massive targeted financial aid package for students. This will require the commitment of students, universities, government and the private sector. It’s a solvable problem if everyone enters the debating room with an open mind and leaving their ego’s at the door.